The philosophy of whist, an essay on the scientific and intellectual aspects of the modern game by Pole William 1814-1900
Author:Pole, William, 1814-1900
Language: eng
Format: epub, pdf
Tags: Whist
Publisher: London, De La Rue
Published: 1889-03-25T05:00:00+00:00
have given the following results. The winners of the first game are denoted always by AB, although they were not always the same individuals.
First Game. Second Game. Third Game. Number of
Won by Won by Won by Rubbers.
AB AB — 528
AB YZ AB 260
Rubbers won by A B 788
AB YZ YZ 236
Total rubbers played 1024
No record was kept of either deal or skill; pro-t)ably they were equally distributed, and may be ignored. On this assumption, out of these 1024 rubbers the winners of the first game ought, according to the calculated probability of f, to have won 768; the actual fact was, that they won 788.
A further example is given in Mr. Perceval's data, quoted in Chapter XVIII. His results, with skill, but ignoring the deal, corresponded to the probability 0764; against skill, to 0742. The value of skill, here, comes out less than assumed in the above calculations.
It is clear, therefore, both from theory and experiment, that the taker of a bet of ;^5 to ^2 on the rubber, after the first game, is at a considerable disadvantage, unless in the case where both deal and skill are against the winners of the first game. The fair odds are ^^3 to jC\, which should be increased if both deal and skill are in favour, and diminished in the contrary case.
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